Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000626 0.000718 0.000816 0.000927 0.001051 0.001182 0.001333
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000479 0.000606 0.000751 0.000927 0.001135 0.001369 0.001653
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000407 0.000550 0.000721 0.000939 0.001204 0.001516 0.001905
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000336 0.000484 0.000669 0.000914 0.001224 0.001598 0.002080
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000281 0.000428 0.000622 0.000886 0.001232 0.001661 0.002227
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000245 0.000394 0.000597 0.000884 0.001269 0.001757 0.002414
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000216 0.000365 0.000576 0.000883 0.001304 0.001851 0.002600
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000188 0.000336 0.000550 0.000871 0.001324 0.001923 0.002757
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000163 0.000306 0.000522 0.000854 0.001333 0.001979 0.002891
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000150 0.000295 0.000520 0.000873 0.001392 0.002103 0.003121
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000138 0.000284 0.000515 0.000888 0.001446 0.002220 0.003341
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000121 0.000261 0.000492 0.000873 0.001453 0.002272 0.003474
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000238 0.000466 0.000852 0.001453 0.002314 0.003596
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000094 0.000225 0.000456 0.000855 0.001487 0.002406 0.003789
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000216 0.000450 0.000864 0.001531 0.002513 0.004006
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000196 0.000426 0.000841 0.001524 0.002543 0.004113
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000178 0.000401 0.000815 0.001510 0.002563 0.004203
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000168 0.000390 0.000813 0.001533 0.002638 0.004375
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000158 0.000381 0.000812 0.001558 0.002715 0.004553
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000147 0.000366 0.000802 0.001566 0.002768 0.004693
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000135 0.000350 0.000785 0.001563 0.002802 0.004807
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000133 0.000352 0.000803 0.001620 0.002929 0.005064
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000129 0.000351 0.000817 0.001669 0.003048 0.005308